The Null Result Penalty
Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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The Null Result Penalty. / Chopra, Felix; Haaland, Ingar; Roth, Christopher; Stegmann, Andreas.
I: The Economic Journal, Bind 134, Nr. 657, 01.2024, s. 193-219.Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The Null Result Penalty
AU - Chopra, Felix
AU - Haaland, Ingar
AU - Roth, Christopher
AU - Stegmann, Andreas
PY - 2024/1
Y1 - 2024/1
N2 - examine how the evaluation of research studies in economics depends on whether a study yielded a null result. Studies with null results are perceived to be less publishable, of lower quality, less important and less precisely estimated than studies with large and statistically significant results, even when holding constant all other study features, including the sample size and the precision of the estimates. The null result penalty is of similar magnitude among PhD students and journal editors. The penalty is larger when experts predict a large effect and when statistical uncertainty is communicated with p-values rather than standard errors. Our findings highlight the value of a pre-result review.
AB - examine how the evaluation of research studies in economics depends on whether a study yielded a null result. Studies with null results are perceived to be less publishable, of lower quality, less important and less precisely estimated than studies with large and statistically significant results, even when holding constant all other study features, including the sample size and the precision of the estimates. The null result penalty is of similar magnitude among PhD students and journal editors. The penalty is larger when experts predict a large effect and when statistical uncertainty is communicated with p-values rather than standard errors. Our findings highlight the value of a pre-result review.
U2 - 10.1093/ej/uead060
DO - 10.1093/ej/uead060
M3 - Journal article
VL - 134
SP - 193
EP - 219
JO - The Economic Journal
JF - The Economic Journal
SN - 0013-0133
IS - 657
ER -
ID: 373549509