Investment and uncertainty: precipitating the Great Depression in the United States
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Investment and uncertainty : precipitating the Great Depression in the United States. / Greasley, David; Madsen, Jakob B.
I: Economica, Bind 73, Nr. 291, 2006, s. 393-412.Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Investment and uncertainty
T2 - precipitating the Great Depression in the United States
AU - Greasley, David
AU - Madsen, Jakob B.
N1 - JEL Classification: E22, G31, N12
PY - 2006
Y1 - 2006
N2 - A severe collapse of fixed capital formation distinguished the onset of the Great Depression from other investment downturns between the world wars. Using a model estimated for the years 1890-2000, we show that the expected profitability of capital measured by Tobin's q, and the uncertainty surrounding expected profits indicated by share price volatility, were the chief influences on investment levels, and that heightened share price volatility played the dominant role in the crucial investment collapse in 1930. Investment did not simply follow the downward course of income at the onset of the depression: rather, its slump helped to propel the wider collapse
AB - A severe collapse of fixed capital formation distinguished the onset of the Great Depression from other investment downturns between the world wars. Using a model estimated for the years 1890-2000, we show that the expected profitability of capital measured by Tobin's q, and the uncertainty surrounding expected profits indicated by share price volatility, were the chief influences on investment levels, and that heightened share price volatility played the dominant role in the crucial investment collapse in 1930. Investment did not simply follow the downward course of income at the onset of the depression: rather, its slump helped to propel the wider collapse
U2 - 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2006.00505.x
DO - 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2006.00505.x
M3 - Journal article
VL - 73
SP - 393
EP - 412
JO - Economica
JF - Economica
SN - 0013-0427
IS - 291
ER -
ID: 314034