Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania

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Standard

Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania. / Arndt, Channing; Farmer, William; Strzepek, Kenneth; Thurlow, James .

I: Review of Development Economics, Bind 16, Nr. 3, 2012, s. 378–393.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt

Harvard

Arndt, C, Farmer, W, Strzepek, K & Thurlow, J 2012, 'Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania', Review of Development Economics, bind 16, nr. 3, s. 378–393. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00669.x

APA

Arndt, C., Farmer, W., Strzepek, K., & Thurlow, J. (2012). Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania. Review of Development Economics, 16(3), 378–393. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00669.x

Vancouver

Arndt C, Farmer W, Strzepek K, Thurlow J. Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania. Review of Development Economics. 2012;16(3):378–393. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00669.x

Author

Arndt, Channing ; Farmer, William ; Strzepek, Kenneth ; Thurlow, James . / Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania. I: Review of Development Economics. 2012 ; Bind 16, Nr. 3. s. 378–393.

Bibtex

@article{798654aeb6994718a49907d7e172cbce,
title = "Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania",
abstract = "Due to their reliance on rain-fed agriculture, both as a source of income and consumption, many low-income countries are considered to be the most vulnerable to climate change. Here, we estimate the impact of climate change on food security in Tanzania. Representative climate projections are used in calibrated crop models to predict crop yield changes for 110 districts in Tanzania. These results are in turn imposed on a highly disaggregated, recursive dynamic economy-wide model of Tanzania. We find that, relative to a no-climate-change baseline and considering domestic agricultural production as the channel of impact, food security in Tanzania appears likely to deteriorate as a consequence of climate change. The analysis points to a high degree of diversity of outcomes (including some favorable outcomes) across climate scenarios, sectors, and regions. Noteworthy differences in impacts across households are also present both by region and by income category.",
author = "Channing Arndt and William Farmer and Kenneth Strzepek and James Thurlow",
year = "2012",
doi = "10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00669.x",
language = "English",
volume = "16",
pages = "378–393",
journal = "Review of Development Economics",
issn = "1363-6669",
publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell",
number = "3",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania

AU - Arndt, Channing

AU - Farmer, William

AU - Strzepek, Kenneth

AU - Thurlow, James

PY - 2012

Y1 - 2012

N2 - Due to their reliance on rain-fed agriculture, both as a source of income and consumption, many low-income countries are considered to be the most vulnerable to climate change. Here, we estimate the impact of climate change on food security in Tanzania. Representative climate projections are used in calibrated crop models to predict crop yield changes for 110 districts in Tanzania. These results are in turn imposed on a highly disaggregated, recursive dynamic economy-wide model of Tanzania. We find that, relative to a no-climate-change baseline and considering domestic agricultural production as the channel of impact, food security in Tanzania appears likely to deteriorate as a consequence of climate change. The analysis points to a high degree of diversity of outcomes (including some favorable outcomes) across climate scenarios, sectors, and regions. Noteworthy differences in impacts across households are also present both by region and by income category.

AB - Due to their reliance on rain-fed agriculture, both as a source of income and consumption, many low-income countries are considered to be the most vulnerable to climate change. Here, we estimate the impact of climate change on food security in Tanzania. Representative climate projections are used in calibrated crop models to predict crop yield changes for 110 districts in Tanzania. These results are in turn imposed on a highly disaggregated, recursive dynamic economy-wide model of Tanzania. We find that, relative to a no-climate-change baseline and considering domestic agricultural production as the channel of impact, food security in Tanzania appears likely to deteriorate as a consequence of climate change. The analysis points to a high degree of diversity of outcomes (including some favorable outcomes) across climate scenarios, sectors, and regions. Noteworthy differences in impacts across households are also present both by region and by income category.

U2 - 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00669.x

DO - 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00669.x

M3 - Journal article

VL - 16

SP - 378

EP - 393

JO - Review of Development Economics

JF - Review of Development Economics

SN - 1363-6669

IS - 3

ER -

ID: 37635843