An experimental test of the anscombe-aumann monotonicity axiom

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningfagfællebedømt

Most models of ambiguity aversion satisfy the Anscombe-Aumann monotonicity axiom. Monotonicity implies a weak form of separability of preferences across events that occur with unknown probability. We construct a test of weak separability by modifying the Allais paradox, adapting it to the Anscombe-Aumann framework. Three experimental studies are conducted. Study 1 finds frequent, systematic violations of weak separability in the lab. These findings replicate in study 2, where we employ a subject pool of online workers and use a natural rather than an artificial source of uncertainty. Investigating a potential explanation of the violations, study 3 suggests that the certainty effect plays a major role.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftManagement Science
Vol/bind65
Udgave nummer4
Sider (fra-til)1667-1677
Antal sider11
ISSN0025-1909
DOI
StatusUdgivet - apr. 2019

Bibliografisk note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 INFORMS.

ID: 374862769