Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change

Research output: Book/Report › Report › Research › peer-review

Standard

Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change. / Hansen, Christian Estmann; Sørensen, Bjørn Bo; Ndulu, Benno; Rand, John.

The World Economy : Wiley, 2022.

Research output: Book/Report › Report › Research › peer-review

Harvard

Hansen, CE, Sørensen, BB, Ndulu, B & Rand, J 2022, Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change. Wiley, The World Economy. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13255

APA

Hansen, C. E., Sørensen, B. B., Ndulu, B., & Rand, J. (2022). Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13255

Vancouver

Hansen CE, Sørensen BB, Ndulu B, Rand J. Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change. The World Economy: Wiley, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13255

Author

Hansen, Christian Estmann ; Sørensen, Bjørn Bo ; Ndulu, Benno ; Rand, John. / Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change. The World Economy : Wiley, 2022.

Bibtex

@book{b00c5982021143b1945d2f112a33f61e,
title = "Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change",
abstract = "This paper identifies industries in Tanzania that are critical for (i) upgrading and diversifying the economy, (ii) increasing export revenue and (iii) absorbing labour. First, a Product Space analysis identifies industrial niches, which Tanzania should promote to increase economic complexity and stimulate structural transformation. The identification of industries is based on a supply-side network method following the literature on economic complexity. Second, we combine the complexity analysis with a gravity model, identifying industries with high, demand-driven export potential. In combination, the supply-and-demand framework finds industries that are complex, feasible to target given Tanzania's existing know-how and profitable to export given product-specific trade resistance and geographically dispersed demand. Third, we construct an employment absorption index to identify industries with a high labour intensity. Our findings suggest a high export potential and scope for learning spillovers in complex sectors, such as machinery and chemicals. In contrast, less complex sectors, such as agro-processing, metal and wood, are correlated with higher employment creation.",
author = "Hansen, {Christian Estmann} and S{\o}rensen, {Bj{\o}rn Bo} and Benno Ndulu and John Rand",
year = "2022",
month = feb,
day = "12",
doi = "10.1111/twec.13255",
language = "English",
publisher = "Wiley",
address = "United States",

}

RIS

TY - RPRT

T1 - Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change

AU - Hansen, Christian Estmann

AU - Sørensen, Bjørn Bo

AU - Ndulu, Benno

AU - Rand, John

PY - 2022/2/12

Y1 - 2022/2/12

N2 - This paper identifies industries in Tanzania that are critical for (i) upgrading and diversifying the economy, (ii) increasing export revenue and (iii) absorbing labour. First, a Product Space analysis identifies industrial niches, which Tanzania should promote to increase economic complexity and stimulate structural transformation. The identification of industries is based on a supply-side network method following the literature on economic complexity. Second, we combine the complexity analysis with a gravity model, identifying industries with high, demand-driven export potential. In combination, the supply-and-demand framework finds industries that are complex, feasible to target given Tanzania's existing know-how and profitable to export given product-specific trade resistance and geographically dispersed demand. Third, we construct an employment absorption index to identify industries with a high labour intensity. Our findings suggest a high export potential and scope for learning spillovers in complex sectors, such as machinery and chemicals. In contrast, less complex sectors, such as agro-processing, metal and wood, are correlated with higher employment creation.

AB - This paper identifies industries in Tanzania that are critical for (i) upgrading and diversifying the economy, (ii) increasing export revenue and (iii) absorbing labour. First, a Product Space analysis identifies industrial niches, which Tanzania should promote to increase economic complexity and stimulate structural transformation. The identification of industries is based on a supply-side network method following the literature on economic complexity. Second, we combine the complexity analysis with a gravity model, identifying industries with high, demand-driven export potential. In combination, the supply-and-demand framework finds industries that are complex, feasible to target given Tanzania's existing know-how and profitable to export given product-specific trade resistance and geographically dispersed demand. Third, we construct an employment absorption index to identify industries with a high labour intensity. Our findings suggest a high export potential and scope for learning spillovers in complex sectors, such as machinery and chemicals. In contrast, less complex sectors, such as agro-processing, metal and wood, are correlated with higher employment creation.

UR - https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/twec.13255

U2 - 10.1111/twec.13255

DO - 10.1111/twec.13255

M3 - Report

BT - Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change

PB - Wiley

CY - The World Economy

ER -

ID: 312643016