On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors

Publikation: KonferencebidragPaperForskning

Standard

On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors. / Arndt, Channing; Nhate, Virgulino; Silva, Patricia Castro Da.

2008. Paper præsenteret ved Nordic Conference on Development Economics, Stockholm, Sverige.

Publikation: KonferencebidragPaperForskning

Harvard

Arndt, C, Nhate, V & Silva, PCD 2008, 'On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors', Paper fremlagt ved Nordic Conference on Development Economics, Stockholm, Sverige, 16/06/2008 - 17/06/2008.

APA

Arndt, C., Nhate, V., & Silva, P. C. D. (2008). On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors. Paper præsenteret ved Nordic Conference on Development Economics, Stockholm, Sverige.

Vancouver

Arndt C, Nhate V, Silva PCD. On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors. 2008. Paper præsenteret ved Nordic Conference on Development Economics, Stockholm, Sverige.

Author

Arndt, Channing ; Nhate, Virgulino ; Silva, Patricia Castro Da. / On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors. Paper præsenteret ved Nordic Conference on Development Economics, Stockholm, Sverige.17 s.

Bibtex

@conference{149a83a0f8e611ddb219000ea68e967b,
title = "On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors",
abstract = "Monitoring of poverty requires timely household budget data. However, such data are not available as frequently as needed for policy purposes. Recently, statistical methods have emerged to predict poverty overtime by combining detailed household consumption and expenditure data with more frequent data collected from other surveys. In this paper we compare poverty predictions for Mozambique using different source data to test the robustness of the predicted poverty statistics. A critical element in this exercise of predicting poverty overtime is the stability of the parameters that determine household consumption. We find that the assumption of stable consumption determinants does not hold for Mozambique during the time period examined. We also examine what drives the resulting predicted poverty statistics. The paper then considers the policy implications of these findings for Mozambique and other developing countries.",
keywords = "Faculty of Social Sciences, Poverty prediction, household survey, Mozambique",
author = "Channing Arndt and Virgulino Nhate and Silva, {Patricia Castro Da}",
year = "2008",
language = "English",
note = "null ; Conference date: 16-06-2008 Through 17-06-2008",

}

RIS

TY - CONF

T1 - On the Robustness of Poverty Predictors

AU - Arndt, Channing

AU - Nhate, Virgulino

AU - Silva, Patricia Castro Da

PY - 2008

Y1 - 2008

N2 - Monitoring of poverty requires timely household budget data. However, such data are not available as frequently as needed for policy purposes. Recently, statistical methods have emerged to predict poverty overtime by combining detailed household consumption and expenditure data with more frequent data collected from other surveys. In this paper we compare poverty predictions for Mozambique using different source data to test the robustness of the predicted poverty statistics. A critical element in this exercise of predicting poverty overtime is the stability of the parameters that determine household consumption. We find that the assumption of stable consumption determinants does not hold for Mozambique during the time period examined. We also examine what drives the resulting predicted poverty statistics. The paper then considers the policy implications of these findings for Mozambique and other developing countries.

AB - Monitoring of poverty requires timely household budget data. However, such data are not available as frequently as needed for policy purposes. Recently, statistical methods have emerged to predict poverty overtime by combining detailed household consumption and expenditure data with more frequent data collected from other surveys. In this paper we compare poverty predictions for Mozambique using different source data to test the robustness of the predicted poverty statistics. A critical element in this exercise of predicting poverty overtime is the stability of the parameters that determine household consumption. We find that the assumption of stable consumption determinants does not hold for Mozambique during the time period examined. We also examine what drives the resulting predicted poverty statistics. The paper then considers the policy implications of these findings for Mozambique and other developing countries.

KW - Faculty of Social Sciences

KW - Poverty prediction

KW - household survey

KW - Mozambique

M3 - Paper

Y2 - 16 June 2008 through 17 June 2008

ER -

ID: 10480215