Growth and Poverty: A Pragmatic Assessment and Future Prospects

Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapportBidrag til bog/antologiForskningfagfællebedømt

  • Channing Arndt
  • Vincent Leyaro
  • Kristi Mahrt
  • Tarp, Finn
This chapter considers the evolution of welfare of the Tanzanian population using a multi-dimensional approach. It also employs a detailed economy-wide model of the Tanzanian economy to explore growth and monetary poverty reduction scenarios from 2007 to 2015. This approach permits assessment of the coherence of observed trends in macroeconomic variables and projects consumption poverty outcomes to 2015. In the multi-dimensional approach, we find that real gains have been achieved. On monetary poverty, our model broadly reproduces key macroeconomic features of the past eight years. We find that published consumption poverty reductions for 2007 to 2011/12 from the most recent assessment fall within a reasonable to optimistic range. And, the simulations generate broader based growth across the income distribution compared with the recent assessment. Looking forward, the simulations from 2012 to 2105 project a faster rate of poverty reduction due to more favourable terms of trade.
TitelTanzania : The Path to Prosperity
RedaktørerChristopher S. Adam, Paul Collier, Benno Ndulu
ForlagOxford University Press
ISBN (Trykt)9780198704812
StatusUdgivet - 2017

ID: 164384861