Anna Dreber Almenberg, Stockholm University

(Predicting) replications and variation in new outcomes – which results generalize?

Abstract

What share of results replicate or generalize in different literatures in some of the experimental social sciences? I will discuss several large replication projects in mainly psychology and economics, where my coauthors and I have redone experiments published in high impact journals with new and larger samples to see whether the main result replicates. I will also cover our studies on forecasting like prediction markets and forecasting surveys where researchers attempt to predict these replication outcomes and outcomes of new hypothesis tests, as well as recent work on multi-analyst projects and conceptual replications where we either ask researchers to test the same hypotheses on the same data or to design experiments testing the same hypothesis.

Anna Dreber Almenberg is the Johan Björkman professor of economics at the Department of Economics, mainly doing meta-science and behavioral and experimental economics.

She is also a Wallenberg Scholar, a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (KVA), and a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences (IVA). She is furthermore affiliated with the Department of Economics at the University of Innsbruck and the Credence Goods, Incentives and Behavior group.

You can read more about Anna Dreber Almenberg here

CEBI contact: Claus Thustrup Kreiner